Thursday, July 24, 2008

Zogby: Obama ahead in Electoral votes

McCain's gonna meet with the Dalai Lama while Obama's wowed 'em in Berlin.

Despite what Limbaugh et al say about the lanky, hoop-shootin' African-American candidate, the guy gives a pretty good speech.

Can't wait to see how McCain's photo-op with The Dalai turns out Friday in Aspen. Will he be festooned with flowers?

Anyhow, pollster John Zogby says Obama's beating McCain in the Electoral College by a 273-to-146 count, with 119 votes too close to call. (270 are needed to win.)

Says Zogby:

"For the time being, Obama maintains the edge and has the strength of a majority of electoral votes. His triumphant foreign trip allows him to continue to define this race. But too many of these states are close and a sizable number are undecided or choosing a third party candidate. So there is a lot of fluidity."


Here's what the Z-Man says about some individual states (purple=undecided; red=McCain; blue=Obama) ....

Arkansas - changes from purple to red:

"It may look like a toss-up, but the conservative base is probably too solid for Obama to crack."

Arizona - changes from purple to red:

"The state may be changing, but it is still home turf for McCain. Look for conservatives to come back to McCain."

Florida - changes from red to purple:

"Seniors and whites provide McCain a cushion over Obama. However, no one should count votes here too soon."

South Dakota - changes from red to purple:

"A tough call here, so we'll shade it purple for now."

1 comment:

jdallen said...

That is not a shortcoming, lady. That is there so that states can have more nearly equal representation even though they are not on the east coast or west coast.

It was designed that way because this once upon a time was the United STATES of America, and the federal government was not all powerful.

But you probably wouldn't know nothing 'bout that, being so much smarter than all the guys that designed the Constitution, and all. After all, why pay any attention to those old guys?